Over his last 24 rounds on courses under 7,200 yards, Rose ranks 12th in the field in SG: Total. A number of those missed cuts came on long courses that don’t suit Rose’s game, but he should be much more comfortable at St. I’m sorry, but when did the market lose almost all respect for Rose, a former major winner?Īlthough Rose has missed the cut in four of his last five events, I believe this is the perfect time to buy low on the Englishman. Best Bet #2 – Justin Rose Top-40 Finish (-125) As an aside, I don’t hate a bet on a top-10 finish at +210 or better. Further, he’s made the cut in seven of his last eight events.įor those reasons, I would play Finau up to +100 for a top-20 finish. He tied for fourth in his last outing at the Charles Schwab Challenge and owns two top-10 finishes in his last four events.
Plus, he’s 20th in good drives gained and eighth in putting between five and 10 feet.įinau also arrives at this event in solid form. Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty ImagesĪt a course where Par 5 scoring is crucial in rising up the leaderboard, expect that latter stat to come in handy for Finau, who has the distance to reach in two and could make a number of low scores on those three holes. Tony Finau is the pick to choose when betting on the Valero Texas Open. For example, Finau is seventh in birdies or better gained, eighth in three-putt avoidance, second in SG: Par 4’s – 450 to 500 yards and third in SG: Par 5’s. The two causes for concern with Finau are his ability to hit fairways (88th in fairways gained) and his approach record (66th in SG: approach), but there’s a lot to like elsewhere.
Over the last 24 rounds, the former Ryder Cupper sits fifth overall. Plus, Finau rates out very well in my model. Over his last 24 qualifying rounds on courses under 7,200 yards, Finau ranks seventh in the field in strokes-gained: total and sits 10th in the field in strokes-gained: ball striking. Best Bet #1 – Tony Finau Top-20 Finish (+110)įinau is widely regarded as a bomber who has success on longer courses, but he actually has played quite well on short setups.
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